ANALYSIS OF MOTORCYCLE ACCIDENT CASES AND CASUALTIES IN ILORIN METROPOLIS, NIGERIA
Keywords:
Road traffic accident, Motorcycle transportation, Injuries and Fatalities, geographical distribution, traffic enforcement.Abstract
Motorcycle transportation is an essential yet hazardous component of urban mobility in Ilorin, Nigeria, contributing significantly to road traffic injuries and fatalities. This study aimed to evaluate the causes, annual trends, and spatial patterns of motorcycle accidents in the metropolis while validating official records against victim reports. A mixed-methods research design was implemented, utilizing primary data from 384 questionnaires administered to motorcyclists, victims, and healthcare professionals, alongside 10-year secondary records (2015–2024) from the Federal Road Safety Corps. Analytical tools included SPSS and Microsoft Excel for statistical trends, while ArcMap 10.8’s Kernel Density tool was used for spatial mapping. Results indicate that accidents are predominantly driven by behavioral factors, specifically intoxication (53.02%) and speed violations, with key flashpoints identified at Maraba, Post Office Area, and Fate Roundabout. Notably, the validation of official data revealed a very weak correlation between victim reports and institutional records (R² = 0.072; p = 0.606), suggesting potential recall bias and reporting gaps. The study concludes that motorcycle accidents in Ilorin are shaped by a synergy of risky rider behavior and infrastructure deficits. Consequently, enhancing road safety requires a multifaceted strategy involving stricter traffic enforcement, public sensitization campaigns, infrastructure upgrades, and improved emergency medical response logistics.References
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